Emerging risks with relevance for Deutsche Telekom
Technological risk: Cyber attacks Cyber attacks are increasing rapidly. The speed of digital transformation, machine learning, and computing capacity is growing exponentially. At the same time, the attacks are becoming increasingly specific and efficient. They are overtaking security fixes, with the result that the number of vulnerabilities that could be exploited by this kind of attack at our company is increasing.
The potential impacts of this risk include:
Failure to protect our infrastructure and our customer data against cyber attacks
A lack of knowledge among employees or excessively complex infrastructure can make it more difficult to prevent cyber attacks, such as those triggered by artificial intelligence
Compliance with increasingly strict legal requirements for data retention and the data protection could affect our strategy or our business models.
Financial losses can arise from new extortion techniques that are increasingly being used in attacks and demanding payments in cryptocurrencies, for example.
Loss of reputation, because customers could lose trust in the quality of our communications services.
Our corrective measures include:
Switching to more robust IT control environments
Improving protection against widespread types of attacks
Deploying machine learning technology (artificial intelligence) to identify attacks
Improving reactivity when defending against identified attacks
Raising awareness of cyber attacks among our customers
Better recognition of malware and improvement of user authentication techniques
Environmental risk: Weather extremes Advancing climate change will increase the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events. The related physical effects include warming oceans, higher heat and humidity, increased average temperatures, heavy storms (wind, lightning, hail, tornadoes, and hurricanes), and heat waves – which in turn can result in natural disasters like flooding and drought.
The potential impacts of this risk include:
Flooding of river basins and coastal areas due to heavy rainfall, which can destroy or seriously damage our base stations, network nodes, and other infrastructure
Tornadoes and hurricanes that can cause significant damage to data centers, cell towers, office buildings, and our retail outlets
Heavy storms can also damage or destroy cell towers, particularly at higher-elevation sites.
Forest fires and heat waves can damage or destroy nearby cell towers or locations of our network technology.
Infrastructure that is not robust enough to withstand these tougher conditions in the long term
Reduction in the stability of our power supply
These impacts can result in longer and more frequent network outages, which in turn have the potential to lower our revenue, increase our churn rate, and damage our reputation. In addition, additional investments will be necessary to adapt our processes and make our infrastructure more robust. The costs of insurance cover for such events will likely increase steadily over time.
Our risk mitigation measures include:
Better methods for predicting when and where potential disasters might occur in future
Identifying weak points in our cell towers and other infrastructure
Eliminating identified weak points in our infrastructure to withstand higher wind speeds and temperatures Designing more robust network infrastructure in areas that are particularly susceptible to such disasters
Installing emergency power supplies for all critical network elements, to avoid network outages and reduce downtimes
Improving our plans for maintaining operations and for disaster recovery for scenarios in which such outages might occur
Business risk: Infectious diseases/pandemics Outbreaks of disease and pandemics cannot be predicted. Nonetheless, historical data shows that regional and global pandemics have become increasingly frequent over the past decades. A new sickness or virus can spread quickly, become a pandemic, and drastically impede global economic growth. This can affect multiple industry sectors and supply chains and have significant impacts on the way we live and work.
The potential impacts of this risk include:
Increasingly delayed deliveries and payments, as well as payment defaults among business customers and consumers, increasing our bad debts
Restrictions in the public sphere could force our stores to close and affect sales and services for our customers
Travel restrictions could affect our roaming traffic volumes and our revenue
Customer growth could be curbed, because it is difficult to acquire new customers
Companies may need to reduce their orders of IT services and devices
Restrictions to social contacts (distance learning and working from home) could overload our networks and reduce their efficiency
In the case of a severe pandemic, coupled with restrictions, our workforce could be reduced temporarily or permanently
Our corrective measures include:
Monitoring of relevant developments by our Group Situation Center
Organization of crisis management and task forces
Issuance of pandemic guidelines
Provision of suitable hygienic and personal protective equipment for sales outlets, offices, and network infrastructure sites
Ramping up and hardening our networks to handle additional peak loads in voice and data traffic
Protecting our customers and employees through mobile working, online sales, and online customer service
Technological risk: Cyber attacks
Cyber attacks are increasing rapidly. The speed of digital transformation, machine learning, and computing capacity is growing exponentially. At the same time, the attacks are becoming increasingly specific and efficient. They are overtaking security fixes, with the result that the number of vulnerabilities that could be exploited by this kind of attack at our company is increasing.
The potential impacts of this risk include:
Our corrective measures include:
Environmental risk: Weather extremes
Advancing climate change will increase the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events. The related physical effects include warming oceans, higher heat and humidity, increased average temperatures, heavy storms (wind, lightning, hail, tornadoes, and hurricanes), and heat waves – which in turn can result in natural disasters like flooding and drought.
The potential impacts of this risk include:
These impacts can result in longer and more frequent network outages, which in turn have the potential to lower our revenue, increase our churn rate, and damage our reputation. In addition, additional investments will be necessary to adapt our processes and make our infrastructure more robust. The costs of insurance cover for such events will likely increase steadily over time.
Our risk mitigation measures include:
Business risk: Infectious diseases/pandemics
Outbreaks of disease and pandemics cannot be predicted. Nonetheless, historical data shows that regional and global pandemics have become increasingly frequent over the past decades. A new sickness or virus can spread quickly, become a pandemic, and drastically impede global economic growth. This can affect multiple industry sectors and supply chains and have significant impacts on the way we live and work.
The potential impacts of this risk include:
Our corrective measures include: